Bond Yield and Federal Funds Rate Data
Input Data Values
10-Year Treasury Bond Yield (%) Description: The document you requested has moved to a new location. The new location is "http://download.finance.yahoo.com/d/quotes.csv?s=%5ETNX&f=sl1d1t1c1ohgv&e=.csv".
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3-Month Treasury Bond Yield (%) Description: The document you requested has moved to a new location. The new location is "http://download.finance.yahoo.com/d/quotes.csv?s=%5EIRX&f=sl1d1t1c1ohgv&e=.csv".
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Federal Funds Rate (%) Description: The document you requested has moved to a new location. The new location is "http://download.finance.yahoo.com/d/quotes.csv?s=FF-Y.CBT&f=sl1d1t1c1ohgv&e=.csv".
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Probability of Recession in Next 12 Months
Calculated Results Values
Probability of Recession (%)


Price for US Economy in Recession at intrade.com
Price for US Economy in Recession at intrade.com
About this graph.


About the Calculator:
You can change the values for the rates and then click the "update probability" button to re-calculate based on the numbers you entered.

Note: Javascript code is from Political Calculations.
The delayed quotes for the bond rates are automatically downloaded from Yahoo! Finance every time the page is loaded.